Selections subject to change due to late scratches, track condition, unanticipated track-bias, or other emergent factors. (And then there’s our shameless waffling.)
Wed, Nov 15
3) Keri This Day Lori - this will be her third race back off of an April break; ran against a pro speed, pro rail bias in her last, to finish an even 4th to the speed Abatare, who returned to run 2nd last eve; has just dropped to the bottom level this season, spending most of her career running against tougher foes..one more shot
4) Arroshot - legit speed at this distance from the 1 post which has been very productive here for the last six weeks or so; keep in mind that he's been getting late in the lane in his last few starts; cure all could be this inside post and Quinones ( 2 wins aboard him this yr)
5) Bedtime for Bonzo - broke well and tried to duel with the winner of his last and faded late; Im a Machen too was aided by a pro speed, pro rail bias, with the second finisher returning to win his next (Dude Cowboy); Bonzo's turn tonight
6)Ten Cent Hat - had the misfortune of hooking a couple of bears in her last two starts... Siccar, at Tdn has won 9 of her last 12 starts for trainer Bracho; from her last race at MVR the winner Striking lass, has won her last 3 starts; could get a good trip if Queenie and Glorious Ride battle for the front
Handicapping tip of the day: Try to beat talking heads. Few possess real chops, and the selections of those that do have genuine insight get over-bet. If the analyst seems sharp and has built a solid rep, absorb local knowledge and learn from the commentary. But play your own picks. It's more fun and gratifying, and you'll get better prices. When Mnr is dark, I grind out steady profits playing other tracks ( focus on just 1 or 2, and treat them like a job). But the next tv analyst I listen to will be the first. In fact, I kill the sound. And I'm not a lip-reader.