Selections subject to change due to late scratches, track condition, unanticipated track-bias, or other emergent factors. (And then there’s our shameless waffling.)
Tues, Sept 26
1) For U Ruth - not only did this barn win all three turf races last eve but they did it with three different riders; Ruth is 0 for 4 on grass but has the decent 3rd to talented 5/2 Judah over our lawn, then proved that he's ok at the route when 2nd to 5/2 Sito's Boy; no real stand outs on grass in here, might as well get on board the Bernardini train?
2) Uncle Jack - proved himself on dirt here last season then came in July to run well, beaten only a neck to Marshall's 3/2 fav Veya on the grass; 5 time WV bred winner that doesn't need restricted races to score, comes out of a strong invading barn
4) Playing With Fire - lightly raced this year with only 5 starts and has been off since Jun, displays a quick work at Tdn in late Aug; 12 time winner from 50 starts, knows what it takes to score and the barn did win a race last eve with another invader
6) Oakley Way - easier 2 in 12 month condition, verses the 2 in 6 month races that she's been facing; sharp trainer seems to know when shes training well, watch the wagering
8) Huntress Helena - gets her perfect spot against her own sex tonight with several new faces that could make things interesting; took a good break, from Roman Officer, a local stakes winner, to beat her last out; has scored 17, 1/4 mile races at Mnr
Handicapping tip of the day: Try to beat talking heads. Few possess real chops, and the selections of those that do have genuine insight get over-bet. If the analyst seems sharp and has built a solid rep, absorb local knowledge and learn from the commentary. But play your own picks. It's more fun and gratifying, and you'll get better prices. When Mnr is dark, I grind out steady profits playing other tracks ( focus on just 1 or 2, and treat them like a job). But the next tv analyst I listen to will be the first. In fact, I kill the sound. And I'm not a lip-reader.