Selections subject to change due to late scratches, track condition, unanticipated track-bias, or other emergent factors. (And then there’s our shameless waffling.)
Sun, Nov 19
1) Tiz All Biz - drops to the nickel after running competitive against much tougher foes, several of which were multiple winners; has speed, chased and dueled with Blues Edge in both starts here at Mnr, Blues is now a 10 time winner; faces all, straight up, never won two foes this evening, at our bottom level
2) Explore - this 4 time winner over the Mnr main from just 7 attempts is another that should find the company here easier, tonight gets the non winners of 3 in 12 months verses the open company that he faced in his last two starts; veteran rider tonight a bonus
5) Paltarrevenge - only off of the ticket in 1 of his 8 starts this season; 2nd finisher from his last, is an 11 time winner including several stakes, racking up over 800k in earnings; has the ability to lap on or rally, needs a speed duel up front, to insure the perfect trip
6) Rhondoo - has shown us a different dimension in his last two starts when he sat just off of heavy favorites to finish 2nd in each; barn has done a great job keeping him in good form from May until now, may be more left in the tank
Handicapping tip of the day: Try to beat talking heads. Few possess real chops, and the selections of those that do have genuine insight get over-bet. If the analyst seems sharp and has built a solid rep, absorb local knowledge and learn from the commentary. But play your own picks. It's more fun and gratifying, and you'll get better prices. When Mnr is dark, I grind out steady profits playing other tracks ( focus on just 1 or 2, and treat them like a job). But the next tv analyst I listen to will be the first. In fact, I kill the sound. And I'm not a lip-reader.